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Zeng Yi

2018-11-01

Professor, National School of Development ,Peking University

Director, Center for Healthy Aging and Development Studies,Peking University

Professor, Institute of Population Research, Peking University

Professor, Center for the Study of Aging and Human Development,School of Medicine, Duke University

Director, Center for Chinese Populations & Socioeconomic Studies,Duke University

Distinguished Research Scholar, Max Planck Institute

 

Research Area/Research Interest

(1)   Population healthy aging and elderly health service and policy

(2)   New methods of family households & living arrangements forecasting and its applications in socioeconomic and health services planning and policy analysis

(3)   Family dynamics & life course studies including marriage, divorce and cohabitation

(4)   Demographic, economic and social changes and their policy implications in elderly health care needs/costs and socioeconomic development in China.

 

Education Background

1982.7, B.S. (Geography) East China Normal University

1986.5, Ph.D. (Demography) Suma Cum Laude, Free University of Brussels

1986-1987 Postdoctoral Research, Princeton University

 

Experiences

2003.7 – Present, Professor, National School of Development

2002.7 – Present, Director, Center for Chinese Populations & Socioeconomic Studies, Duke University

2001.4 – Present, Director, Center for Healthy Aging and Development Studies

1993.2 - 1998.6, Director, Institute of Population Research, Peking University

1992 – 1998, Visiting Professor, Humphrey Institute of Public Affair, University of Minnesota

1991,1992,1994, Visiting Professor, Yale University

1987.8 - 1993.1, Deputy Director, Institute of Population Research, Peking University

1987.8 – Present, Professor, Institute of Population Research, Peking University

 

Books Published

1. 曾毅:中国人口发展态势与对策探讨。北京大学出版社,1994。

2. 曾毅、王正联:家庭状态生命表软件及其应用。北京大学出版社,1990。

3. 曾毅等:中国八十年代的离婚研究。北京大学出版社,1995。

4. 查瑞传、曾毅、郭志刚等:中国第四次人口普查资料分析(上、下两集)。高等教育出版社,1996。

5. 曾毅、柳玉芝、张纯元、萧振禹 等:健康长寿影响因素分析。北京大学出版社,2004年。

6. 曾毅:中国人口分析。北京大学出版社,2004。

7. 曾毅:Research on Aging and Family. 北京大学出版社,2004。

8. 曾毅、顾大男、萧振禹、陶立群:中国高龄老人健康长寿调查图集(Graph Collection of Healthy Longevity in China),中国人口出版社。2005。

9. 曾毅, 李玲,顾宝昌,林毅夫等:21世纪的中国人口与经济发展。社会科学文献出版社。2006。

10. 曾毅:人口分析方法与应用。北京大学出版社,1993。

11. 张纯元、曾毅(主编):市场人口学。北京大学出版社,1996。

12. Zeng Yi. 1990. User''''s Manual and software of "FAMY" --- A PC Computer program for Family Status Life Table Analysis. Groningen, The Netherlands: iec ProGAMMA (Inter-university Expert Center for Computer Software Development and Distribution).  Note: This research book, including the software, was peer-reviewed before acceptance for publication.

13. Zeng Yi, Zhang Chunyuan and Peng Shongjian (eds.). 1990. Changing Family Structure and Population Aging  in China: A Comparative Approach. Beijing: Peking University Press (also distributed by Peking University Press'''' partners in Western countries).

14. Zeng Yi. 1991. Family Dynamics in China: A Life Table Analysis.  Wisconsin: The University of Wisconsin Press. Note: This research book was peer-reviewed before acceptance for publication.

15. Zeng Yi. 2004. Population Aging and Family Research. Beijing: Peking University Press (also distributed by Peking University Press'''' partners in Western countries).

16. Zeng Yi, Eileen Crimmins, Yves Carrière, Jean-Marie Robine (eds.). 2005. Longer Life and Healthy  Aging. Dordrecht: Springer Publisher.

17. Zeng Yi, Gu Danan, Xiao Zhenyu, Tao Liqun. 2005. Graphics of Socio-Demographic and Health Profiles of Oldest-Old in China (in both English and Chinese). Beijing: China Population Press.

18. Jean-Marie Robine, Eileen M. Crimmins, Shiro Horiuchi, and Zeng Yi (eds.). 2006. Human Longevity, Individual Life Duration, and the Growth of the Oldest-Old Population. Dordrecht: Springer Publisher.

19. Zeng Yi, Dudley Poston, Denese Ashbaugh Vlosky, and Danan Gu (eds.). 2008. Healthy Longevity in China: Demographic, Socioeconomic, and Psychological Dimensions. Dordrecht: Springer Publisher.

 

Recent Research Papers

1) Zeng Yi, J. Vaupel and A.Yashin. 1985. “Marriage and Fertility in China: A Graphical Analysis.” Population and Development Review 11: 721-36.

2) Zeng Yi. 1986 “Changes in Family Structure in China: a Simulation Study.” Population and Development Review 12:675-703.

3) Zeng Yi. 1988. “Changing Demographic Characteristics and the Family Status of Chinese Women.” Population Studies 42: 183-203.

4) Zeng Yi and J. Vaupel. 1989. “Impact of Urbanization and Delayed Childbearing on Population Growth and Aging in China.” Population and Development Review 15: 425:445.

5) Zeng Yi. 1989. “Is China''''s Family Planning Program Tightening Up?” Population and Development  Review Vol. 15:333-337.

6) Zeng Yi. 1989. “Aging of the Chinese Population and the Policy Issues: Lessons Learned from a Rural-urban Dynamic Projection Model.” Referred and selected articles for publication in International Population Conference, Volume 3: 81-101. Liege: International Union for Scientific Studies of Population, 21st General Conference.

7) Zeng Yi, Tu Ping, Guo Liu and Xie Ying. 1991. “A Demographic Decomposition of Recent Increase in Crude Birth Rates in China.” Population and Development Review 17: 435-458.

8) James W. Vaupel and Zeng Yi. 1991. “Population Tradeoffs in China.” Policy Sciences 24: 389-406.

9) Zeng Yi, Tu Ping, Gu Baochang, Xu Yi, Li Bohua and Li Youngping. 1993. “An Analysis on Causes and Implications of Recent Increase in Sex Ratio at Births in China.” Population and Development Review 19: 283-302. 

10) Zeng Yi, J.W. Vaupel, and Wang Zhenglian. 1993. “Marriage and Fertility in China: Recent Trends.” Genus Vol. IL:17-34.

11) Zeng Yi, and Wang Deming. 1993. “An Event History Analysis of Remarriage in China.” Selected and referred article for publication in: International Population Conference, Volume 3: 323-335. Liege: International Union for Scientific Studies of Population, 22nd General Conference.

12) Zeng Yi, A. Coale, M.K. Choe, Z. Liang, and L. Liu. 1994. “Leaving Parental Home: Census Based Estimates for China, Japan, South Korea, The United States, France, and Sweden.” Population Studies 48: 65-80.

13) Zeng Yi. 1995. “Aging in China: Progress and Policy Responses.” Reviews in Clinical Gerontology 5: 77-83.

14) Zeng Yi. 1995. “China''''s Agenda for an Old-age Insurance Program in Rural Areas.” Journal of Aging  & Social Policy 6: 101-14.

15) Schultz, T. Paul and Zeng Yi. 1995. “Fertility of Rural China: Effects of Local Family Planning and Health Programs.” Population Economics 8: 329-50.

16) Ma, Z and K.L. LIAW and Zeng Yi. 1996. "Spousal Residence Separation Among Chinese Young Couples." Environment and Planning A 28: 877-8.

17) Zeng Yi. 1996. “Is Fertility in China in 1991-1992 Far Below the Replacement Level?” Population Studies Vol. 50: 27-34.

18) Ma, Z., K.L. Liaw, and Zeng Yi. 1997.  "Migrations in the Urban/Rural Settlement System of China: Insights from the Micro Data of the 1987 National Survey." Environment and Planning A 29: 709-30.

19) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel, and Wang Zhenglian. 1997. “A Multidimensional Model for Projecting Family Households -- With an Illustrative Numerical Application.” Mathematical Population Studies 6: 187-216.

20) Zeng Yi. 1997. “Dilemmas of Family Size Norms in China.” Selected and referred article for publication in International Population Conference, Volume 3: 1405-1418. Liege: International Union for Scientific Studies of Population, 23rd General Conference.

21) Vaupel, J.W., J.R. Carey, K. Christensen, T.E. Johnson, A.I. Yashin, N.V. Holm, I.A. Iachine, V. Kannisto, A.A. Khazaeli, P. Liedo, V.D.Longo, Zeng Yi, K.G. Manton, and J.W. Curtsinger. 1998. “Biodemographic Trajectories of Longevity.” Science, 280: 855-60.

22) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel and Wang Zhenglian. 1998. “Household Projection Using Conventional Demographic Data.” Population and Development Review, Supplementary Issue: Frontiers of Population Forecasting. Volume 24: 59-87.

23) Wang Zhenglian, Zeng Yi, Bernard Jeune, and J.W. Vaupel. 1998. “Age Validation of Han Chinese Centenarians.” GENUS - An International Journal of Demography, Vol. LIV: 123-141.

24) Schultz, T. Paul and Zeng Yi. 1999. “The Impact of Institutional Reform from 1979 to 1987 on Fertility in Rural China.” Chinese Economic Review 10: 141-60. (The authors are listed alphabetically and share equally in the research design and analysis).

25) Zeng Yi, Wang Zhenglian, Ma Zhongdong, Chen Chunjun. 2000. “A Simple Method for Estimating a and b: An Extension of Brass Relational Gompertz Fertility Model.” Population Research and Policy Review, Volume 19, No. 6, pp. 525-549.

26) Zeng Yi and Linda George. 2000. “Family Dynamics of 63 Million (in 1990) to More Than 330 Million (in 2050) Elders in China.” Demographic Research, Vol. 2 (5).

27) Zeng Yi and Wu Deqing. 2000. “A Regional Analysis of Divorce in China Since 1980.”  Demography, 37 (2): 215-219.

28) Zeng Yi and Jiang Leiwen. 2000. "Does Rapid Economic Growth Accompanied by Massive Migration Necessarily Result in Severe Environmental Pollution? -- A Case Study of Pear River Delta in China." Current Politics and Economics of China, Vol. 3, No. 3. Pp. 427-445.

29) Zeng Yi and Kenneth C. Land. 2001. “A Sensitivity Analysis of The Bongaarts-Feeney New Method for Adjusting Bias in Observed Period Total Fertility Rates.” Demography, 38 (1): 17-28.

30) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel, Xiao Zhenyu, Zhang Chunyuang and Liu Yuzhi. 2001. “The Healthy Longevity Survey and the Active Life Expectancy of the Oldest Old in China.” Population: An English Selection, 13(1):  95-116.

31) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel, Xiao Zhenyu, Zhang Chunyuang et Liu Yuzhi. 2001. “L’enquete sue la longevite en bonne sante: l’esperance de vie sans incapacite des personnes tres agees en Chine.” Population: Longevite, 56(1).

32) Zeng Yi and Linda George. 2002. “Extremely Rapid Aging and the Living Arrangement of Elderly Persons: the Case of China.” In Living Arrangements of Older Persons, Population Bulletin of the United Nations, Special Issue Nos. 42/43, New York: United Nations.

33) Zeng Yi and Kenneth C. Land. 2002. “Adjusting Period Tempo Changes – with an Extension of Ryder’s Basic Translation Equation.” Demography, Vol. 39, No. 2, pp. 269-285.

34) Zeng Yi. 2001. “A Demographic Analysis of Family Households in China, 1982-1995.”  Journal of Comparative Family Studies. Vol. 33, No. 1, pp. 15-34.

35) Zeng Yi, James W. Vaupel, Xiao Zhenyu, Zhang Chunyuan and Liu Yuzhi. 2002. “Sociodemographic and Health Profiles of Oldest Old in China.” Population and Development Review, No. 2, Vol. 28.

36) Zeng Yi and James W. Vaupel. 2002. “Functional Capacity and Self-Evaluation of Health 

and Life of the Oldest Old in China.” Journal of Social Issues, 58: 733-748.

37) Zeng Yi, T. Paul Schultz, Wang Deming, and Gu Danan. 2002. “Association of Divorce with Socio-economic Covariates in China, 1955-1985: Event History Analysis based on Data collected in Shanghia, Hebei, and Shaanxi.” Demographic Research, Vol. 7, Article 11.

38) Zeng Yi. 2002. “Aging in China.” Ekerdt, David J. (ed.), Encyclopedia of Aging. Macmillan

Reference USA, an Imprint of the Gale Group, New York.

39) Zeng Yi, Liu Yuzhi, and Linda George. 2003. “Gender Differentials of Oldest Old in China.” Research on Aging. 25: 65-80.

40) Zeng Yi and James W. Vaupel. 2003. “Oldest Old Mortality in China.” Demographic Research, Vol. 8 (7): 215-244.

41) Zeng Yi and Zhenglian Wang. 2003. “Dynamics of Family and Elderly Living Arrangements in China: New Lessons Learned from the 2000 Census.” The China Review, Vol. 3, No. 2: 95-119. 

42) Zeng, Yi; Gu, Danan, and Land, K. C. 2004. “A New Method for Correcting Underestimation of Disabled Life Expectancy and Application to Chinese Oldest-Old.” Demography, Vol. 41 (2): 335-361.

43) Zeng, Yi, and Vaupel, J.W. 2004. “Association of Late Childbearing With Healthy Longevity among The Oldest-Old in China.” Population Studies, 58(1): 37-53.

44) Zeng, Yi.  2004.  “Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey and Some Research Findings.” Geriatrics and Gerontology International, 2004; 4: S49-S52.

45) Zeng Yi, Eric Stallard, And Zhenglian Wang. 2004. “Computing Time-Varying Sex-Age-Specific Rates of Marriage/Union Formation and Dissolution in Family Household Projection or Simulation.” Demographic Research, 11, 264-299.

46) Gu, Danan; and Zeng, Yi. 2004. Sociodemographic Effects on the Onset and Recovery of ADL Disability among Chinese Oldest-old. Demographic Research, 11, 1-44.

47) Zeng Yi, Kenneth C. Land, Zhenglian Wang, and Gu Danan. 2006. “U.S. Family Household Momentum and Dynamics -- Extension of ProFamy Method and Application.”  Population Research and Policy Review, 25(1): 1-41.

48) Gu, Danan, Liu, Guangya, Vlosky, A. Denese and Zeng, Yi. (2007). Factors  Associated with Place of Death among Chinese Oldest-old. Journal of Applied Gerontology 26(1), 34-57.

49) Zeng Yi, Zhenglian Wang, Jiang Leiwen, and Danan Gu. 2006. “Projection of Family Households and Elderly Living Arrangement in the Context of Rapid Population Aging in China --A Demographic Window of Opportunity Until 2030 and Serious Challenges Thereafter.” Forthcoming in GENUS.

50) Zeng Yi, Danan Gu, and Kenneth C. Land. 2007. “The Association of Childhood Socioeconomic Conditions with Healthy Longevity at the Oldest-Old Ages in China.” Demography. Vol 44, No. 3: 497-518.

51) Zeng Yi, 2007. “Options of Fertility Policy Transition in China.” Population  and Development Review. Vol. 33 No. 2, Heading article, Pp. 215-246.

52) Zeng Yi (2008) La Presion demografica sobre el envejecimiento de la poblacion (Demographic Pressure on Population Aging in Chin). Vanguardia Dossier (Spanish Quarterly), Issue 28: 53-59.

53) Xiao, Xinhua, Zhenxin Zhang, Harvey Jay Cohen, Heng Wang, Wenhui Li, Tong Wang, Tao Xu, Aimin Liu, Mingying Gai, Ying Shen, Ole Schmitz,Zeng Yi (2008). “Evidence of a Relationship between Infant Birth Weight and Later Diabetes Mellitus and Impaired Glucose Regulation in a Chinese Population”. Diabetes Care, 2008, No. 4. 54) Gu, Danan; Dupre, Matthew E.; Sautter, Jessica; Zhu, Haiyan; Liu, Yuzhi; and Zeng, Yi. “Frailty and Mortality among Chinese at Advanced Ages.” Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences, In press.

55)  Gu, Danan; Zhang, Zhenmei; and Zeng, Yi. “Accessibility to Healthcare Services Makes a Difference in Healthy Longevity among Older Chinese Adults.” Social Science and  Medicine, In press.

56)  Dupre, Matthew E.; Gu, Danan; Warner, David F.; and Zeng, Yi. “Frailty and Type of Death among Older Adults in China. British Medical Journal. In press.